Dutch disease
When a resource boom makes a country's other industries less competitive.
- What it is
- A boom brings in foreign currency, which strengthens the national currency and pushes up wages and prices. Farming, manufacturing and tourism then find it harder to sell abroad, and the economy leans even more on the resource. The name comes from the Netherlands after its gas discoveries in the 1960s.
- How it is measured
- During booms, watch the real exchange rate, the share of manufacturing and agriculture in GDP and exports, and wage growth outside mining.
- What it shows
- Why a boom can leave a country less diversified.
- What it does not show
- That the boom was not worth having. Saving part of the income abroad, as Norway does, softens the effect.
- Example
- When coal exports surge, the tögrög can strengthen, making Mongolian cashmere and meat dearer abroad.